评级 vs 实际回报归因 · 更新：2026-10-17 09:10 · 共 45 个有估值锚点的标的
| 标的 | 评级 | 分析日 | 持有天数 | 基准价 | 目标价(EV) | 现价 | 实际涨跌 | 目标涨跌 | 差距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 美光科技 | 中性观察（等好价） | 2026-09-17 | 30 | $977.68 | $614.00 | $878.84 | -10.1% | -37.2% | +27.1% |
| 华泰证券(H股) | 值得关注 | 2026-08-28 | 50 | HK$17.41 | HK$23.60 | HK$16.15 | -7.2% | +35.6% | -42.8% |
| 沪电股份 | 值得关注 | 2026-08-27 | 51 | ¥121.21 | ¥121.00 | ¥113.20 | -6.6% | -0.2% | -6.4% |
| 英伟达 | 强烈关注 | 2026-08-27 | 51 | $227.97 | $401.00 | $214.13 | -6.1% | +75.9% | -82.0% |
| 恒立液压 | 中性观察（等好价） | 2026-08-27 | 51 | ¥103.00 | ¥78.00 | ¥78.20 | -24.1% | -24.3% | +0.2% |
| 中国人寿(H股) | 值得关注 | 2026-08-27 | 51 | HK$29.32 | HK$33.50 | HK$23.56 | -19.6% | +14.3% | -33.9% |
| 大族数控(H股) | 值得关注 | 2026-08-27 | 51 | HK$109.50 | HK$105.00 | HK$65.80 | -39.9% | -4.1% | -35.8% |
| 嘉立创 | 中性观察（等好价） | 2026-08-27 | 51 | ¥162.03 | ¥67.00 | ¥160.60 | -0.9% | -58.6% | +57.8% |
| 台积电 | 强烈关注 | 2026-08-27 | 51 | $424.32 | $541.00 | $412.61 | -2.8% | +27.5% | -30.3% |
| 鼎龙股份 | 中性观察（等好价） | 2026-08-26 | 52 | ¥72.19 | ¥58.00 | ¥57.49 | -20.4% | -19.7% | -0.7% |
| 路维光电 | 中性观察（等好价） | 2026-08-26 | 52 | ¥66.74 | ¥56.00 | ¥52.53 | -21.3% | -16.1% | -5.2% |
| 财捷 | 值得关注 | 2026-08-26 | 52 | $344.03 | $445.00 | $325.15 | -5.5% | +29.3% | -34.8% |
| 中国平安(H股) | 值得关注 | 2026-08-26 | 52 | HK$57.30 | HK$69.05 | HK$50.00 | -12.7% | +20.5% | -33.2% |
| 快手-W | 中性观察（等好价） | 2026-08-26 | 52 | HK$33.62 | HK$51.00 | HK$29.20 | -13.1% | +51.7% | -64.8% |
| 博通 | 值得关注 | 2026-08-25 | 53 | $362.22 | $375.00 | $328.75 | -9.2% | +3.5% | -12.8% |
| 迈威尔科技 | 值得关注 | 2026-08-25 | 53 | USD244.34 | USD231.20 | USD227.83 | -6.8% | -5.4% | -1.4% |
| 拼多多 | 强烈关注 | 2026-08-25 | 53 | $87.75 | $158.00 | $80.97 | -7.7% | +80.1% | -87.8% |
| 中际旭创 | 值得关注 | 2026-08-24 | 54 | ¥870.22 | ¥875.00 | ¥667.21 | -23.3% | +0.5% | -23.9% |
| 美的集团 | 中性观察（等好价） | 2026-08-21 | 57 | ¥84.30 | ¥75.00 | ¥84.91 | +0.7% | -11.0% | +11.8% |
| 腾讯控股 | 值得关注 | 2026-08-21 | 57 | HK$457.00 | HK$600.00 | HK$417.00 | -8.8% | +31.3% | -40.0% |
| 赛富时 | 值得关注 | 2026-08-21 | 57 | $209.47 | $244.00 | $240.70 | +14.9% | +16.5% | -1.6% |
| Indivior | 值得关注 | 2026-08-21 | 57 | $36.87 | $46.00 | $32.45 | -12.0% | +24.8% | -36.8% |
| 国投资本 | 值得关注 | 2026-08-21 | 57 | ¥6.25 | ¥8.30 | ¥6.29 | +0.6% | +32.8% | -32.2% |
| 谷歌 | 值得关注 | 2026-08-21 | 57 | $344.82 | $410.00 | $340.59 | -1.2% | +18.9% | -20.1% |
| Arm Holdings | 中性观察（等好价） | 2026-08-13 | 65 | $284.65 | $52.00 | $227.80 | -20.0% | -81.7% | +61.8% |
| Globe Life | 中性观察（等好价） | 2026-08-13 | 65 | $180.60 | $166.00 | $168.77 | -6.6% | -8.1% | +1.5% |
| AppLovin | 强烈关注 | 2026-08-13 | 65 | $313.11 | $332.00 | $266.13 | -15.0% | +6.0% | -21.0% |
| 宁德时代 | 强烈关注 | 2026-08-11 | 67 | ¥390.40 | ¥661.00 | ¥276.12 | -29.3% | +69.3% | -98.6% |
| 康龙化成 | 中性观察（等好价） | 2026-08-10 | 68 | ¥46.92 | ¥25.90 | ¥36.45 | -22.3% | -44.8% | +22.5% |
| 拓荆科技 | 中性观察（等好价） | 2026-08-07 | 71 | ¥690.65 | ¥483.00 | ¥660.02 | -4.4% | -30.1% | +25.6% |
| Palantir Technologies | 中性观察（等好价） | 2026-08-06 | 72 | $155.92 | $107.00 | $186.03 | +19.3% | -31.4% | +50.7% |
| 中天科技 | 值得关注 | 2026-08-06 | 72 | ¥32.29 | ¥42.30 | ¥26.61 | -17.6% | +31.0% | -48.6% |
| 云南白药 | 值得关注 | 2026-08-05 | 73 | ¥51.70 | ¥71.50 | ¥52.96 | +2.4% | +38.3% | -35.9% |
| 胜宏科技 | 中性观察（等好价） | 2026-08-04 | 74 | ¥201.31 | ¥138.30 | ¥182.18 | -9.5% | -31.3% | +21.8% |
| 中信证券 | 值得关注 | 2026-08-04 | 74 | ¥28.05 | ¥30.50 | ¥26.09 | -7.0% | +8.7% | -15.7% |
| 华泰证券 | 值得关注 | 2026-08-04 | 74 | ¥19.62 | ¥21.90 | ¥17.87 | -8.9% | +11.6% | -20.5% |
| 海康威视 | 强烈关注 | 2026-08-04 | 74 | ¥38.63 | ¥62.00 | ¥33.60 | -13.0% | +60.5% | -73.5% |
| 拉姆研究 | 中性观察（等好价） | 2026-08-04 | 74 | $316.90 | $233.00 | $263.94 | -16.7% | -26.5% | +9.8% |
| 卡特彼勒 | 中性观察（等好价） | 2026-08-03 | 75 | $830.03 | $295.00 | $730.76 | -12.0% | -64.5% | +52.5% |
| 微软 | 中性观察（等好价） | 2026-08-03 | 75 | $489.59 | $433.70 | $529.05 | +8.1% | -11.4% | +19.5% |
| 三花智控 | 中性观察（等好价） | 2026-08-03 | 75 | ¥38.61 | ¥26.05 | ¥31.41 | -18.6% | -32.5% | +13.9% |
| 昊志机电 | 中性观察（等好价） | 2026-08-03 | 75 | ¥64.29 | ¥44.50 | ¥66.50 | +3.4% | -30.8% | +34.2% |
| Affirm Holdings | 暂不介入 | 2026-08-03 | 75 | $75.42 | $40.80 | $76.46 | +1.4% | -45.9% | +47.3% |
| Datadog | 中性观察（等好价） | 2026-08-03 | 75 | $276.50 | $135.00 | $247.11 | -10.6% | -51.2% | +40.5% |
| 赤峰黄金 | 谨慎关注 | 2026-07-31 | 78 | ¥39.56 | ¥32.10 | ¥39.90 | +0.9% | -18.9% | +19.7% |